The Myth of Injury Prevention
- Dave Hedges

- Jul 15
- 3 min read
I'm a day late on sending this out, and I'm actually glad I fell behind
on this.
It's one of those "meant to be" moments, let me explain.
Last week in my shed I filmed a couple of "Dave Cave" videos where I
talked about a topic while sharpening my kitchen knives.
I posted the first, it was only 5 minutes long, talking about the
training principle of "Specific Adaptation to Imposed Demand"
The second ran onto 10 minutes, and I was talking about whether or not
"Injury Prevention" is possible.
I should just post it eh.
Does Meta & Tik Tok allow that length video?
The Myth of Injury Prediction
Anyhow, over the weekend, there was a UFC event.
The main event was Conor McGregor coming back from a 5 year absence to
fight Max Holloway.
The fight was over in a little over a minute.
The fight was stopped after McGregor injured his knee and Holloway, a
gentleman and a sportsman was waving at the ref and trying to stop the
bout for about half the length of bout.

Now, it's unfortunate, no one wants to see a person get hurt.
No one wants for a big competition to be over early due to injury when
we have two professional athletes who'd spent months preparing and we
the audience are looking forward to real test of skill and grit.
But, in sport, and often in life, chaos is a factor.
We cannot predict every outcome no matter what we think, and Murphys Law
will always be waiting for an opportunity to prove itself.
But, over in the land of SocMed, holy shit!
Over in the land of SocMed we have post after post after post from
people talking about how they could "see" that McGregor was hurt or was
on the cusp of injury, from simply looking at a few video clips, a
handful of pictures and a fight that lasted slightly over a minute.
And more than one of those posts laid claim that if McGregor was under
their care, it would never have happened!
It is quite simply pathetic and raise my blood pressure beyond belief!
Snake Oil and Hindsight Bias
Part of why I get annoyed is that you are a customer, a
consumer.
You are a fan of fitness, training and all things human performance.
But you're not a professional, not in this field.
And there's people you follow, you look to for information and
inspiration telling blatant lies and spinning stories to suit their
biases in hope that you'd buy their shit.
It boils my blood.
I am a professional in this field. And I have my opinions, of course I do.
I can run what I know of McGregor through my Anatomy in Motion model and
come up with a theory as to why his knee may have been vulnerable, but
I'll tell you that it's only a story, a working theory subject to change
as more evidence becomes available.
What I cannot do is say with certainty that this video or that photo
shows X, Y or Z
Yeah, with hindsight, we can see the injury happen, we may be able to
then analyse existing footage with that injury mind and we may see, or
rather, convince ourselves that we see evidence.
And that is the best we could hope for.
But then to take our guesses and post about as if it's a certainty, well
that's just wrong.
Is it false advertising?
Should it fall under some regulatory eye?
I don't know.
Stay Cynical
However, what I hope to have achieved here is to aid you in staying
cynical, to remain questioning and not fall foul of the snake oil
salesmen of SocMed
Now, if you have something you'd like to say, to comment or to ask about
this or any other topic in the field of fitness/performance, hit that
reply button and send it in.
I'm looking forward to reading your replies
Chat soon
Dave Hedges



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